Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 51.3% vs Dowd 55.5% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 73.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 59.9%
Neutral zone
McLeod 56.7%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
McLeod
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
McLeod
Dowd
Last 8: McLeod 3-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
McLeod
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
McLeod
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
2
McLeod
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (534)
58.2% (617)
-4.3%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
71.4% (7)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
32.5% (77)
47.2% (144)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. McLeod is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
McLeod shoots right. Dowd is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
McLeod
Dowd
Home
50.5% (275)
58.4% (399)
Away
52.2% (358)
53.9% (369)
By Period
McLeod
Dowd
P1
50.5%
59.0%
P2
56.1%
56.1%
P3
47.7%
54.6%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
51.5%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 13:31 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 09:50 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 06:09 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |