Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Rantanen wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 47.1% vs Dowd 53.3% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 85.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 92.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 70.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Rantanen
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Rantanen
Dowd
Last 5: Rantanen 3-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
2
0
Rantanen
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Rantanen
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (309)
55.4% (771)
-9.1%
Power Play
51.3% (39)
57.1% (7)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
45.5% (165)
-28.8%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Rantanen is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Rantanen shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Dowd
Home
51.8% (197)
58.2% (462)
Away
39.5% (157)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Rantanen
Dowd
P1
47.2%
55.6%
P2
44.8%
50.5%
P3
46.9%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
40.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 18:49 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |