Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Dowd wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Backstrom 46.9% (+7.3%)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 83.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 84.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Dowd
Backstrom
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
47.0% (541)
+8.4%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
47.4% (95)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
15.4% (13)
+30.1%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +30.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Dowd shoots right. Backstrom is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Home / Away
Dowd
Backstrom
Home
58.2% (462)
48.5% (328)
Away
49.3% (481)
44.2% (321)
By Period
Dowd
Backstrom
P1
55.6%
44.8%
P2
50.5%
42.9%
P3
53.9%
50.9%
OT
75.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.1%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%