Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Backstrom 51.1% (-4.3%)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 90.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 77.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.0%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Dowd
Backstrom
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
53.2% (77)
-4.0%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
50.0% (6)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
0.0% (1)
+44.0%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. Backstrom is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Dowd
Backstrom
Home
46.3% (492)
54.5% (55)
Away
49.8% (532)
48.3% (29)
By Period
Dowd
Backstrom
P1
49.1%
50.0%
P2
48.2%
52.9%
P3
46.9%
55.0%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%