Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 50.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Backstrom 50.3% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 92.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 69.5%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 50.7%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Dowd
Backstrom
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
51.4% (473)
+3.8%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
39.5% (38)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
33.3% (3)
+4.9%
On power play, Dowd has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Dowd shoots right. Backstrom is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Dowd
Backstrom
Home
53.7% (445)
53.6% (278)
Away
47.7% (407)
46.6% (236)
By Period
Dowd
Backstrom
P1
48.8%
51.5%
P2
49.3%
56.0%
P3
54.0%
43.5%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%