Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 51.6% vs Bergeron 56.1% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 58.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 88.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 74.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Dowd
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Dowd
Bergeron
Last 6: Dowd 1-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
5
Dowd
Bergeron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (381)
56.2% (940)
-5.0%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
61.6% (284)
+38.4%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (89)
50.3% (165)
+3.6%
On power play, Dowd has a +38.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Dowd is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Dowd shoots right. Bergeron is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (461).
Home / Away
Dowd
Bergeron
Home
54.6% (218)
57.7% (712)
Away
49.6% (254)
55.4% (677)
By Period
Dowd
Bergeron
P1
50.6%
55.0%
P2
55.1%
57.1%
P3
50.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
56.4%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2019 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 3, 2019 | 1 | 07:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 3, 2019 | 1 | 05:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 3 | 13:08 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |