Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 83.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 80.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 73.4%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Dowd
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Dowd
Bergeron
Last 9: Dowd 3-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
5
Dowd
Bergeron
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Bergeron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
62.5% (1,109)
-7.3%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
62.2% (352)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
53.5% (245)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Dowd shoots right. Bergeron is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Dowd
Bergeron
Home
53.7% (445)
61.9% (917)
Away
47.7% (407)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Dowd
Bergeron
P1
48.8%
60.8%
P2
49.3%
60.3%
P3
54.0%
63.0%
OT
44.4%
51.5%
Final 5 min
49.8%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 02:39 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |