Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 31 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 52-30 in 82 meetings
Offensive zone
Dowd 72.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 88.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 89.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Dowd
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
52
(82 meetings)
30
52
Dowd
Bergeron
Last 10: Dowd 4-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
27
Dowd
Bergeron
31 total
Defensive Zone
Even
12
12
Dowd
Bergeron
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
14
13
Dowd
Bergeron
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
60.1% (13,938)
-7.7%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
60.8% (3,213)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
53.0% (2,776)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Dowd is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,675).
Dowd shoots right. Bergeron is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (6,685).
Home / Away
Dowd
Bergeron
Home
51.9% (3,897)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
Dowd
Bergeron
P1
51.7%
59.3%
P2
50.4%
60.0%
P3
50.3%
58.6%
OT
45.9%
57.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 02:39 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 18:40 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 3 | 13:11 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |