Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs Kurashev 46.9% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 56.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 89.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 61.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Dowd
Kurashev
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Dowd
Kurashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Kurashev
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
1
Dowd
Kurashev
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
50.0% (46)
+1.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
40.7% (27)
-40.7%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
0.0% (6)
+41.6%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +41.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Dowd shoots right. Kurashev is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Dowd
Kurashev
Home
48.6% (451)
37.5% (40)
Away
49.5% (416)
48.7% (39)
By Period
Dowd
Kurashev
P1
49.1%
48.6%
P2
47.3%
40.0%
P3
51.4%
37.9%
Final 5 min
52.1%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:26 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |