Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Kurashev 48.0% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 93.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 59.8%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 51.8%
Result
Philipp Kurashev favored at 93.9%
6.1%
93.9%
Dowd
Kurashev
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dowd
Kurashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kurashev
0
1
Dowd
Kurashev
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
46.7% (184)
+5.5%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
50.0% (16)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
50.0% (6)
-6.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Dowd shoots right. Kurashev is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Dowd
Kurashev
Home
51.5% (619)
44.4% (63)
Away
48.1% (576)
48.3% (143)
By Period
Dowd
Kurashev
P1
51.7%
53.8%
P2
51.6%
38.7%
P3
47.0%
50.0%
OT
22.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
63.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:14 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |