Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kurashev on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Kurashev 44.8% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Kurashev leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kurashev 96.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 63.4%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 64.9%
Result
Philipp Kurashev favored at 79.6%
20.4%
79.6%
Dowd
Kurashev
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Dowd
Kurashev
Last 10: Dowd 3-7 Kurashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kurashev
1
5
Dowd
Kurashev
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Kurashev
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dowd
Kurashev
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
44.6% (924)
+7.8%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
43.6% (156)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
42.1% (38)
+2.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Dowd shoots right. Kurashev is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Dowd
Kurashev
Home
51.9% (3,897)
44.5% (521)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
44.2% (597)
By Period
Dowd
Kurashev
P1
51.7%
46.1%
P2
50.4%
44.4%
P3
50.3%
42.9%
OT
45.9%
38.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:26 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:14 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 17:05 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |