Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kurashev on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Kurashev 47.3% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 94.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 61.1%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 64.1%
Result
Philipp Kurashev favored at 80.2%
19.8%
80.2%
Dowd
Kurashev
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Dowd
Kurashev
Last 6: Dowd 1-5 Kurashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kurashev
0
4
Dowd
Kurashev
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Kurashev
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kurashev
0
1
Dowd
Kurashev
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
46.3% (203)
+2.9%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
49.1% (57)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
35.7% (14)
+8.3%
On power play, Dowd has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. Kurashev is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Home / Away
Dowd
Kurashev
Home
46.3% (492)
45.0% (140)
Away
49.8% (532)
47.8% (134)
By Period
Dowd
Kurashev
P1
49.1%
51.9%
P2
48.2%
44.3%
P3
46.9%
43.6%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 17:05 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |