Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Dubois 46.7% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 29-14 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 86.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 95.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 85.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Dowd
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
14
(43 meetings)
29
14
Dowd
Dubois
Last 10: Dowd 8-2 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
8
Dowd
Dubois
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
19
0
Dowd
Dubois
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
9
6
Dowd
Dubois
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
46.2% (7,002)
+6.2%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
51.3% (606)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
48.1% (108)
-4.0%
On even strength, Dowd has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Dowd shoots right. Dubois is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,643).
Home / Away
Dowd
Dubois
Home
51.9% (3,897)
47.9% (3,872)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
45.4% (3,844)
By Period
Dowd
Dubois
P1
51.7%
47.6%
P2
50.4%
45.6%
P3
50.3%
46.8%
OT
45.9%
48.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:51 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 18:38 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 3 | 04:08 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 2 | 05:42 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 11:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 14:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 16:16 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 11:01 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 08:39 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |