Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Dowd wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Dubois 47.1% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 85.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 81.5%
Neutral zone
Dubois 53.9%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Dowd
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Dowd
Dubois
Last 9: Dowd 4-5 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
2
Dowd
Dubois
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Dubois
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
3
Dowd
Dubois
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
46.1% (1,050)
+9.3%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
58.0% (81)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
25.0% (4)
+20.5%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Dowd shoots right. Dubois is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Dowd
Dubois
Home
58.2% (462)
47.0% (581)
Away
49.3% (481)
46.8% (554)
By Period
Dowd
Dubois
P1
55.6%
46.9%
P2
50.5%
50.1%
P3
53.9%
43.9%
OT
75.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 08:39 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |