Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.8% vs Dubois 44.4% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 66.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 95.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 78.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Dowd
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Dowd
Dubois
Last 10: Dowd 6-4 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Dowd
Dubois
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
0
Dowd
Dubois
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
3
Dowd
Dubois
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (343)
43.1% (936)
+8.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
51.0% (104)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (51)
41.7% (12)
+5.4%
On even strength, Dowd has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Dowd is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Dowd shoots right. Dubois is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Dowd
Dubois
Home
43.0% (172)
46.2% (500)
Away
57.1% (224)
41.7% (552)
By Period
Dowd
Dubois
P1
47.4%
46.6%
P2
60.6%
38.5%
P3
44.7%
46.3%
OT
33.3%
30.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.0%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2018 | 3 | 16:39 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 3 | 12:35 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 3 | 09:22 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 2 | 17:15 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 2 | 14:31 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 2 | 01:19 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 1 | 00:48 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |