Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Suter 43.3% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 94.6%
Defensive zone
Suter 60.6%
Neutral zone
Suter 67.2%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 75.8%
24.2%
75.8%
Dowd
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Dowd
Suter
Last 8: Dowd 3-5 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
1
2
Dowd
Suter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Suter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
0
3
Dowd
Suter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
42.4% (740)
+9.8%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
48.0% (75)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
37.3% (59)
+6.7%
On power play, Dowd has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Dowd shoots right. Suter is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Dowd
Suter
Home
51.5% (619)
41.8% (407)
Away
48.1% (576)
43.3% (467)
By Period
Dowd
Suter
P1
51.7%
44.7%
P2
51.6%
41.5%
P3
47.0%
41.9%
OT
22.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:23 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 8, 2025 | OT | 00:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:40 | Neutral | Pius Suter |