Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Suter 46.3% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Suter 89.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 79.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 61.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Dowd
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Dowd
Suter
Last 10: Dowd 7-3 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
2
4
Dowd
Suter
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
1
Dowd
Suter
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
4
5
Dowd
Suter
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
46.2% (3,208)
+6.2%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
52.9% (278)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
40.3% (303)
+3.8%
On even strength, Dowd has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Dowd shoots right. Suter is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,403).
Home / Away
Dowd
Suter
Home
51.9% (3,897)
46.8% (1,804)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
45.7% (1,985)
By Period
Dowd
Suter
P1
51.7%
46.6%
P2
50.4%
46.0%
P3
50.3%
46.1%
OT
45.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.5%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 05:04 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 02:09 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:23 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 8, 2025 | OT | 00:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:40 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 09:50 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Pius Suter |