Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.2%). Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs Suter 48.6% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 54.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 83.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 54.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Dowd
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dowd
Suter
Last 5: Dowd 4-1 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
1
Dowd
Suter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
50.1% (357)
+1.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
43.8% (16)
-43.8%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
40.5% (79)
+1.1%
On power play, Suter has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Dowd shoots right. Suter is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (159).
Home / Away
Dowd
Suter
Home
48.6% (451)
48.0% (223)
Away
49.5% (416)
48.5% (229)
By Period
Dowd
Suter
P1
49.1%
48.9%
P2
47.3%
47.3%
P3
51.4%
49.7%
OT
30.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 05:04 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 02:09 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |