Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Dowd wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Poehling 47.0% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 87.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 56.5%
Neutral zone
Poehling 71.6%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 76.8%
23.2%
76.8%
Dowd
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Dowd
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Dowd
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Dowd
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
45.1% (437)
+10.3%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
56.4% (39)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
61.5% (13)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Dowd shoots right. Poehling is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Dowd
Poehling
Home
58.2% (462)
46.6% (232)
Away
49.3% (481)
46.3% (257)
By Period
Dowd
Poehling
P1
55.6%
43.9%
P2
50.5%
49.1%
P3
53.9%
46.4%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 05:24 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |