Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Poehling 49.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 92.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 53.0%
Neutral zone
Poehling 59.8%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Dowd
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Dowd
Poehling
Last 8: Dowd 6-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
1
Dowd
Poehling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
50.4% (752)
-1.2%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
37.0% (27)
+21.3%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
45.3% (159)
-1.3%
On power play, Dowd has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. Poehling is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Dowd
Poehling
Home
46.3% (492)
51.2% (467)
Away
49.8% (532)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Dowd
Poehling
P1
49.1%
54.6%
P2
48.2%
46.7%
P3
46.9%
46.7%
OT
71.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.7%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:09 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:08 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 03:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |