Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Poehling 46.2% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 72.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 52.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 63.1%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Dowd
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dowd
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
46.5% (269)
+8.7%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
66.7% (3)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
42.4% (139)
-4.2%
On power play, Poehling has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Dowd shoots right. Poehling is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Dowd
Poehling
Home
53.7% (445)
45.2% (177)
Away
47.7% (407)
45.3% (234)
By Period
Dowd
Poehling
P1
48.8%
47.7%
P2
49.3%
44.4%
P3
54.0%
44.6%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.8%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 16:27 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |