Scouting Report
Tim Stützle holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.2% vs Stützle 52.9% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 91.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 86.4%
Neutral zone
Stützle 59.8%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Dowd
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dowd
Stützle
Last 5: Dowd 3-2 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
Dowd
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
1
Dowd
Stützle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (640)
53.0% (485)
-1.1%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
55.2% (58)
-55.2%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
56.7% (30)
-15.1%
On power play, Stützle has a +55.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Dowd is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Dowd shoots right. Stützle is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Dowd
Stützle
Home
48.6% (451)
52.5% (282)
Away
49.8% (412)
54.3% (291)
By Period
Dowd
Stützle
P1
48.9%
52.1%
P2
47.6%
56.2%
P3
51.6%
52.0%
OT
30.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
56.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:27 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |