Scouting Report
Tim Stützle holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs Stützle 52.9% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 92.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 85.1%
Neutral zone
Stützle 63.5%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Dowd
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dowd
Stützle
Last 5: Dowd 3-2 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
Dowd
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
1
Dowd
Stützle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
53.0% (485)
-1.3%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
55.2% (58)
-55.2%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
56.7% (30)
-15.1%
On power play, Stützle has a +55.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Dowd shoots right. Stützle is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Dowd
Stützle
Home
48.6% (451)
52.5% (282)
Away
49.5% (416)
54.3% (291)
By Period
Dowd
Stützle
P1
49.1%
52.1%
P2
47.3%
56.2%
P3
51.4%
52.0%
OT
30.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:27 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |