Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Stützle 43.0% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 71.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 75.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 80.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Dowd
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Dowd
Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
1
Dowd
Stützle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
42.7% (457)
+12.5%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
20.0% (5)
+37.1%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
25.0% (24)
+13.2%
On power play, Dowd has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Dowd shoots right. Stützle is 38.0% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Dowd
Stützle
Home
53.7% (445)
43.1% (253)
Away
47.7% (407)
39.9% (233)
By Period
Dowd
Stützle
P1
48.8%
44.9%
P2
49.3%
43.9%
P3
54.0%
35.8%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 07:08 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |