Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stützle on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Stützle 48.2% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 91.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 72.0%
Neutral zone
Stützle 52.3%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Dowd
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Dowd
Stützle
Last 7: Dowd 3-4 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
Dowd
Stützle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
2
3
Dowd
Stützle
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
47.7% (398)
+4.5%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
50.0% (10)
+10.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Dowd shoots right. Stützle is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Dowd
Stützle
Home
51.5% (619)
53.4% (236)
Away
48.1% (576)
40.1% (172)
By Period
Dowd
Stützle
P1
51.7%
49.1%
P2
51.6%
41.3%
P3
47.0%
53.9%
OT
22.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:53 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 03:34 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 13:01 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:43 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 17:55 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:18 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |