Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Stützle 45.8% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Stützle 86.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 88.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 77.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Dowd
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Dowd
Stützle
Last 10: Dowd 6-4 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
2
Dowd
Stützle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
0
Dowd
Stützle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
8
5
Dowd
Stützle
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
45.1% (2,292)
+7.3%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
55.4% (101)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
47.7% (86)
-3.6%
On even strength, Dowd has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Dowd shoots right. Stützle is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (990).
Home / Away
Dowd
Stützle
Home
51.9% (3,897)
47.7% (1,282)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
43.4% (1,197)
By Period
Dowd
Stützle
P1
51.7%
47.1%
P2
50.4%
45.4%
P3
50.3%
44.1%
OT
45.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:27 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:53 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 03:34 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 13:01 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:43 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 17:55 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:18 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 07:08 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:46 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |