Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Meier 49.5% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Meier 94.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 81.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.3%
Result
Timo Meier favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Dowd
Meier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dowd
Meier
Last 5: Dowd 3-2 Meier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Meier
0
2
Dowd
Meier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Meier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Meier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
47.4% (57)
+1.8%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
51.5% (33)
+6.8%
On power play, Dowd has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. Meier is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Dowd
Meier
Home
46.3% (492)
52.4% (42)
Away
49.8% (532)
45.8% (48)
By Period
Dowd
Meier
P1
49.1%
55.2%
P2
48.2%
46.7%
P3
46.9%
45.2%
Final 5 min
45.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Meier
46.0%▲
44.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 01:42 | Offensive | Timo Meier |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:09 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Timo Meier |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |