Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs Meier 47.2% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Meier 74.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 88.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 59.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
Dowd
Meier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dowd
Meier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Meier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
40.9% (93)
+10.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
60.9% (23)
-60.9%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
50.0% (2)
-8.4%
On power play, Meier has a +60.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Dowd shoots right. Meier is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
Dowd
Meier
Home
48.6% (451)
40.4% (57)
Away
49.5% (416)
49.2% (61)
By Period
Dowd
Meier
P1
49.1%
32.6%
P2
47.3%
50.0%
P3
51.4%
59.1%
Final 5 min
52.1%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Meier
46.0%▲
44.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |