Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Meier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Meier 43.7% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Meier 95.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 87.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 67.3%
Result
Timo Meier favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Dowd
Meier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Dowd
Meier
Last 7: Dowd 4-3 Meier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Meier
0
3
Dowd
Meier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Meier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Meier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
41.2% (468)
+11.2%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
50.0% (100)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
35.7% (14)
+8.4%
On even strength, Dowd has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Dowd shoots right. Meier is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Dowd
Meier
Home
51.9% (3,897)
43.2% (280)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
42.1% (302)
By Period
Dowd
Meier
P1
51.7%
43.0%
P2
50.4%
44.4%
P3
50.3%
40.0%
OT
45.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Meier
46.0%▲
44.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Timo Meier |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 01:42 | Offensive | Timo Meier |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:09 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Timo Meier |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |