Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.1% vs Johnson 51.8% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 70.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 52.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 64.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Dowd
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dowd
Johnson
Last 5: Dowd 1-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Dowd
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Dowd
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
2
Dowd
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (608)
51.2% (825)
-4.0%
Power Play
53.1% (96)
56.9% (160)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
51.1% (137)
-51.1%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +51.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Dowd is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Dowd shoots right. Johnson is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Dowd
Johnson
Home
48.7% (384)
56.9% (583)
Away
46.7% (323)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Dowd
Johnson
P1
50.2%
55.1%
P2
47.5%
53.0%
P3
46.2%
48.8%
OT
40.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 1 | 19:43 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |