Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Dowd wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Johnson 53.6% (-7.1%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 77.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 83.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Dowd
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
61.9% (42)
-6.5%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
55.6% (9)
+1.5%
On even strength, Johnson has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Dowd shoots right. Johnson is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Dowd
Johnson
Home
58.2% (462)
52.0% (25)
Away
49.3% (481)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Dowd
Johnson
P1
55.6%
72.0%
P2
50.5%
66.7%
P3
53.9%
27.3%
Final 5 min
53.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%