Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 51.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Johnson 50.7% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 94.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 80.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.3%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Dowd
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Dowd
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Dowd
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
47.4% (78)
+7.8%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
57.6% (33)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
100.0% (2)
-61.8%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +61.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Dowd shoots right. Johnson is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Dowd
Johnson
Home
53.7% (445)
50.9% (57)
Away
47.7% (407)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Dowd
Johnson
P1
48.8%
44.1%
P2
49.3%
59.4%
P3
54.0%
52.3%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.8%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |