Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Johnston 44.8% (+7.5%)
Offensive zone
Johnston 90.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 64.6%
Neutral zone
Johnston 50.6%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Dowd
Johnston
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
42.5% (318)
+12.7%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
55.6% (9)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
62.5% (8)
-24.3%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Dowd shoots right. Johnston is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Dowd
Johnston
Home
53.7% (445)
40.5% (168)
Away
47.7% (407)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Dowd
Johnston
P1
48.8%
46.9%
P2
49.3%
40.4%
P3
54.0%
41.9%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%