Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 81.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 87.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 81.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Larkin
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Larkin
Bjugstad
Last 5: Larkin 5-0 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,228)
48.8% (467)
+4.1%
Power Play
63.1% (214)
53.4% (58)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (145)
60.0% (5)
-4.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Larkin is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Larkin shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bjugstad
Home
55.8% (805)
49.0% (261)
Away
53.2% (782)
49.8% (269)
By Period
Larkin
Bjugstad
P1
55.2%
50.9%
P2
53.3%
50.5%
P3
55.1%
47.2%
OT
51.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 03:05 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 03:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |