Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 55.0% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 80.1%
Defensive zone
Benn 53.1%
Neutral zone
Benn 73.9%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Benn
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Benn
Bjugstad
Last 6: Benn 4-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Benn
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (365)
46.7% (398)
+9.2%
Power Play
56.8% (132)
51.6% (31)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
62.5% (8)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Benn is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Benn shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Benn
Bjugstad
Home
57.3% (267)
47.3% (220)
Away
54.6% (262)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Benn
Bjugstad
P1
54.3%
46.1%
P2
55.7%
46.3%
P3
58.1%
50.4%
Final 5 min
59.7%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 17:50 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |