Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.4% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 82.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 80.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 79.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Carter
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Carter
Bjugstad
Last 6: Carter 5-1 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (934)
47.3% (806)
+4.2%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
55.0% (149)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (95)
59.0% (39)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Carter is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Carter shoots right. Bjugstad is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Carter
Bjugstad
Home
55.1% (554)
55.4% (446)
Away
50.4% (639)
43.6% (548)
By Period
Carter
Bjugstad
P1
50.8%
49.4%
P2
52.1%
48.1%
P3
54.8%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
51.7%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 1 | 01:14 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 10:47 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 06:55 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |