Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.2% vs Bjugstad 53.8% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 77.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 54.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 56.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
Last 5: Draisaitl 4-1 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,124)
55.9% (245)
-3.3%
Power Play
58.4% (344)
0.0% (3)
+58.4%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (193)
57.1% (7)
-7.9%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +58.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Draisaitl shoots left. Bjugstad is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
Home
55.5% (816)
53.2% (111)
Away
51.4% (845)
56.9% (144)
By Period
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
P1
51.1%
44.6%
P2
51.6%
61.4%
P3
56.9%
61.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:22 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 16:01 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |