Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Scheifele wins 37.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 43.1% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 63.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 78.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 66.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Last 8: Scheifele 5-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
0
Scheifele
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Scheifele
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
2
Scheifele
Bjugstad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (655)
48.3% (937)
-7.1%
Power Play
46.8% (126)
56.1% (148)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
34.2% (38)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Scheifele is 37.1% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Scheifele shoots right. Bjugstad is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (359).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Home
45.9% (394)
50.5% (574)
Away
38.4% (391)
47.2% (549)
By Period
Scheifele
Bjugstad
P1
44.7%
52.4%
P2
42.2%
46.8%
P3
39.7%
45.5%
OT
36.4%
78.3%
Final 5 min
42.4%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
42.2%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2013 | 2 | 15:17 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 1 | 07:45 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |