Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 51.5% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 54.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 81.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 58.7%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 73.5%
26.5%
73.5%
McTavish
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
McTavish
Bjugstad
Last 10: McTavish 3-7 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
McTavish
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
6
McTavish
Bjugstad
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
0
McTavish
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (725)
50.7% (906)
+0.6%
Power Play
55.8% (113)
48.1% (108)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
44.4% (239)
-15.8%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. McTavish is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (265).
McTavish shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
McTavish
Bjugstad
Home
52.0% (454)
49.8% (643)
Away
51.4% (391)
48.7% (610)
By Period
McTavish
Bjugstad
P1
51.3%
49.4%
P2
50.4%
50.5%
P3
53.3%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 12:51 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 03:32 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 03:08 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 08:38 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 18:10 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |