Mason McTavish vs Nick Bjugstad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.9%). Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 48.7% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 17-11 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 62.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 61.0%
Neutral zone
McTavish 58.5%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
McTavish
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
17
(28 meetings)
11
17
McTavish
Bjugstad
Last 10: McTavish 2-8 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
McTavish
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
6
13
McTavish
Bjugstad
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
4
2
McTavish
Bjugstad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,788)
48.6% (6,634)
-0.4%
Power Play
52.6% (435)
55.2% (829)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
44.3% (614)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. McTavish is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
McTavish shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Home / Away
McTavish
Bjugstad
Home
49.8% (1,678)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
47.4% (1,580)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
McTavish
Bjugstad
P1
50.0%
49.0%
P2
47.8%
49.1%
P3
48.4%
48.4%
OT
43.5%
61.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 06:53 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 12:51 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 03:32 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 03:08 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 08:38 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 18:10 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 09:11 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 12:22 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |