Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 48.6%). Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.9% vs Foligno 48.6% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 65.1%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 66.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.5%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Bjugstad
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
13
(22 meetings)
9
13
Bjugstad
Foligno
Last 10: Bjugstad 4-6 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
10
Bjugstad
Foligno
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
7
2
Bjugstad
Foligno
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,634)
48.3% (2,810)
+0.3%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
52.3% (730)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
44.0% (455)
+0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Bjugstad shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Foligno
Home
49.8% (4,020)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
48.1% (4,057)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Bjugstad
Foligno
P1
49.0%
47.6%
P2
49.1%
50.4%
P3
48.4%
48.3%
OT
61.3%
29.7%
Final 5 min
47.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 15:46 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 03:51 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 16:07 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |