Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 47.9% vs Foligno 48.6% (-1.0%)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 61.3%
Defensive zone
Foligno 57.1%
Neutral zone
Foligno 52.9%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Bjugstad
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (398)
48.7% (495)
-2.0%
Power Play
51.6% (31)
56.9% (65)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
43.8% (144)
+18.7%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Bjugstad shoots right. Foligno is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Foligno
Home
47.3% (220)
49.6% (359)
Away
47.5% (217)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Bjugstad
Foligno
P1
46.1%
46.7%
P2
46.3%
52.7%
P3
50.4%
46.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%