Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.3% vs Foligno 52.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 57.4%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 88.7%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 65.7%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Bjugstad
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Bjugstad
Foligno
Last 10: Bjugstad 4-6 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
9
Bjugstad
Foligno
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
1
Bjugstad
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (906)
53.4% (249)
-2.7%
Power Play
48.1% (108)
53.2% (154)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (239)
40.6% (32)
+3.8%
On power play, Foligno has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Bjugstad shoots right. Foligno is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Foligno
Home
49.8% (643)
57.3% (225)
Away
48.7% (610)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Bjugstad
Foligno
P1
49.4%
53.0%
P2
50.5%
51.8%
P3
47.9%
52.6%
Final 5 min
48.2%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 15:46 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |