Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.0% vs Foligno 52.3% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 73.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 74.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 69.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Bjugstad
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Bjugstad
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Bjugstad
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (867)
52.0% (50)
-2.6%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
66.7% (21)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (216)
0.0% (1)
+40.7%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +40.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Bjugstad shoots right. Foligno is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Foligno
Home
46.5% (480)
51.2% (41)
Away
48.9% (628)
61.3% (31)
By Period
Bjugstad
Foligno
P1
48.7%
55.6%
P2
45.6%
48.0%
P3
49.1%
65.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |