Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.0% vs Paul 53.4% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 70.8%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 71.3%
Neutral zone
Paul 50.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Bjugstad
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Bjugstad
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Bjugstad
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
0
Bjugstad
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (867)
53.8% (753)
-4.4%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
58.9% (90)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (216)
47.4% (78)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Bjugstad shoots right. Paul is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Paul
Home
46.5% (480)
54.2% (450)
Away
48.9% (628)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Bjugstad
Paul
P1
48.7%
58.2%
P2
45.6%
50.6%
P3
49.1%
52.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | OT | 03:46 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 15, 2023 | OT | 03:42 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Nick Paul |