Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 47.9% vs Paul 50.0% (-2.6%)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 60.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 52.3%
Neutral zone
Paul 53.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Bjugstad
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (398)
48.8% (666)
-2.1%
Power Play
51.6% (31)
53.8% (65)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
60.0% (55)
+2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Bjugstad shoots right. Paul is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Paul
Home
47.3% (220)
49.7% (348)
Away
47.5% (217)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Bjugstad
Paul
P1
46.1%
51.0%
P2
46.3%
47.4%
P3
50.4%
51.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%