Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 47.3%). Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Bjugstad wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.0% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 75.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 74.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 57.0%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Bjugstad
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Bjugstad
Suzuki
Last 8: Bjugstad 3-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
1
Bjugstad
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
4
Bjugstad
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (867)
47.0% (1,066)
+2.4%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
49.5% (204)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (216)
46.6% (131)
-5.9%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Bjugstad is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Bjugstad shoots right. Suzuki is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Suzuki
Home
46.5% (480)
49.4% (686)
Away
48.9% (628)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Bjugstad
Suzuki
P1
48.7%
45.6%
P2
45.6%
46.9%
P3
49.1%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
38.1%
Final 5 min
45.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 04:27 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 07:17 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |