Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Bjugstad wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 47.9% vs Suzuki 51.5% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 66.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 69.4%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 55.7%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Bjugstad
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Bjugstad
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Suzuki
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Bjugstad
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (398)
52.4% (981)
-5.7%
Power Play
51.6% (31)
50.7% (304)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
36.4% (33)
+26.1%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Bjugstad is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Bjugstad shoots right. Suzuki is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Suzuki
Home
47.3% (220)
53.2% (645)
Away
47.5% (217)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Bjugstad
Suzuki
P1
46.1%
48.9%
P2
46.3%
51.5%
P3
50.4%
54.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:44 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |