Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.3% vs Suzuki 52.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 57.1%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 88.6%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 71.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Bjugstad
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Bjugstad
Suzuki
Last 10: Bjugstad 3-7 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
3
Bjugstad
Suzuki
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
6
Bjugstad
Suzuki
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (906)
51.3% (1,096)
-0.6%
Power Play
48.1% (108)
59.9% (157)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (239)
56.9% (58)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Bjugstad is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Bjugstad shoots right. Suzuki is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Suzuki
Home
49.8% (643)
54.2% (638)
Away
48.7% (610)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Bjugstad
Suzuki
P1
49.4%
51.5%
P2
50.5%
53.3%
P3
47.9%
52.4%
OT
50.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 14:38 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 07:42 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 01:48 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 15:28 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 06:25 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |