Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Bjugstad wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 53.8% vs Brown 56.8% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 68.0%
Defensive zone
Brown 65.7%
Neutral zone
Brown 50.5%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Bjugstad
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (245)
61.3% (336)
-5.4%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
50.0% (4)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
45.9% (74)
+11.2%
On power play, Brown has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Bjugstad is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Bjugstad shoots right. Brown is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Brown
Home
53.2% (111)
61.1% (180)
Away
56.9% (144)
56.4% (234)
By Period
Bjugstad
Brown
P1
44.6%
57.5%
P2
61.4%
58.5%
P3
61.3%
59.2%
Final 5 min
50.8%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
58.5%