Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Bjugstad wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 53.8% vs Zacha 50.1% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 75.1%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 68.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 50.5%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Bjugstad
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Bjugstad
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Bjugstad
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (245)
48.0% (296)
+7.9%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
61.0% (59)
-61.0%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
50.0% (22)
+7.1%
On power play, Zacha has a +61.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Bjugstad is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Bjugstad shoots right. Zacha is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Zacha
Home
53.2% (111)
48.9% (223)
Away
56.9% (144)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Bjugstad
Zacha
P1
44.6%
47.9%
P2
61.4%
48.3%
P3
61.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 10:18 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |